Pac-12 Week 3 Predictions

17 09 2010

The Pac-12 now boasts seven ranked teams in the two polls, but even more impressive is the fortitude to schedule four other ranked opponents (#8 Nebraska, #9 Iowa, #11 Wisconsin, #23 Houston) in addition to the playing the most difficult of all BCS conference schedules.

#25 Cal at Nevada: The Bears have the number one defense in the country and The Wolfpack have the number one offense. Colin Kaepernick hasn’t faced a front seven as good as the Bears in his entire career, but Cameron Jordan and Kendrick Payne will try to introduce themselves in the backfield. My guess is that the defense prevails. Bears 34 – Wolfpack 27

#18 USC at Minnesota: Lane Kiffin left the defense at home in his first game, he left the offense in Hawaii for game 2, could there be a special teams disaster on the horizon? Trojans 38 – Golden Gophers 20

#23 Houston at UCLA: The Bruins might be facing Houston without their Heisman candidate – Case Keenum, who suffered a concussion last week. If he’s unable to play the Bruins might get their first win behind a strong defensive performance. I’m guessing that Keenum plays. Cougars 24 – UCLA 19

Arizona State at #11 Wisconsin: The Sun Devils won’t have a chance if they can’t stop the 255lb running back known as John Clay. ASU is one of the most aggressive defensive teams in the conference, but they will need to minimize the penalties to keep the game within reach. Badgers 30 – Sun Devils 13

#8 Nebraska at Washington: The Cornhuskers freshman quarterback – Taylor Martinez, looks like a Jake Locker clone with the ability to make plays when they break down. The Husky defense will struggle to stop the running game, but if their offense gets rolling they will stay in the game. Dawgs 27 – Huskers 24

Wake Forest at #19 Stanford, 8:15: Stanford wants redemption after they lost a game in the final minutes at Wake Forest last year. Andrew Luck struggled against the talented UCLA secondary, but Wake Forest won’t be able to match the Pac-10 speed. Cardinal 34 – Demon Deacons 17

Portland State at #5 Oregon: The Oregon offense should keep on rolling and this game might be an opportunity to get a lot of reps out of Darron Thomas. Ducks 52 – Vikings 10

Louisville at #25 Oregon State: The Rodgers Brothers should put on a show against an inferior opponent, but this could be a statement game for new Louisville head coach Charlie Strong, former defensive coordinator of the Florida Gators. Oregon State wants to bounce back after their loss against TCU. Expect Ryan Katz to improve from his 9 of 25 performance in week one. Beavers 34 – Cardinals 14

#9 Iowa at #24Arizona: Arizona will attempt to spread out the Iowa defense and get their play makers in space. Iowa’s DE Adrian Clayborne leads arguably the best defensive line in the country and will likely shut down the Wildcat running game. I think Arizona plays with a chip on their shoulder and the secondary comes up with a big play late.  Wildcats 27 – Hawkeyes 23

#14 Utah at New Mexico: New Mexico is still recovering from the beat down that Oregon put on them, the Utes cruise in this one 37 – 14.

Hawaii at Colorado: The Buffaloes were cooked into bison burgers in Berkeley last week, but the benefits of the loss are learning where you can improve. Hawaii is not nearly as good on the road. Buffs 33 – Rainbows 24

2010 Prediction Record 20-1

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NASPAQ – Pac-12 Stock Report : Week 1

7 09 2010

The NASPAQ stock market is the Pac-12 version of a stock exchange, a  pioneer in electronic screen-based sports security trading. With twelve teams and approximately 50 publicly traded players, it has more trading volume than any other sports stock exchange in the world.

As the new season begins, we remain steadfast in our commitment to lever operational excellence and innovative analysis to penetrate new markets whether geographic or across conferences, and to develop new articles and ideas to meet growing fan demand and to bring powerful new articles to our readers. Every day, our markets deliver on the promise of competition. We are confident that our sports model will further our growth in an increasingly competitive sports marketplace and will ensure that Pac-12 markets remain the most attractive in the world.

Most of our savvy fans consider the NASPAQ weekly report to be the most important sports research tool available.

The most volatile stock came in the players market from Kenjon Barner (KENJ), who saw a 100% increase in his stock to $50. He was listed as LaMichael James’ backup, but mostly known for his role as a punt/kick returner last season. With James out for pushing his girlfriend, Barner made the most of his opportunity by eclipsing last season’s touchdown totals with four rushing and one through the air. I would expect him to have earned at least a few more carries per game this year and if he outperforms LMJ he could eventually turn into the starter.

I would advise buyers to purchase stock in UCLA’s Akeem Ayers (AYER) ending up as the conference’s defensive MVP. He was all over the field for the Bruins racking up 11 tackles, one sack, a pass deflection and recovered two fumbles. He’ll have plenty of opportunities for tackles this year, because the only place you saw the UCLA defensive line was in the Kansas State rear view mirrors as they gave up 350 rushing yards. His stock is up 15 points, but the bullish UCLA defensive stock is dropping.

There were some surprises in the positional markets starting with USC’s defense (USCD). Some of our analysts were bullish on this stock as it IPO’d at $100, but watching Hawaii dance around them like the girls on Dancing With the Stars was not reassuring. I couldn’t tell what was worse, the tackling or their secondary that gave up 459 yards passing – 200 of which came after the starter was injured. Their poor performance dropped them 50% after surrendering 588 yards to the Rainbow Warriors.

Players Market

Quarterbacks

Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Matt Barkley USC BARK ↑ 15 15% $115
Nick Foles Arizona FOLE ↑ 15 14% $120
Kevin Riley Cal RILE ↑ 5 6% $80
Kevin Prince UCLA PRNC ↓ 5 20% $20
Andrew Luck Stanford LUCK ↑ 10 8% $135
Jordan Wynn Utah WYNN ↑ 5 10% $55
Jake Locker Washington LOCK ↓10 10% $90

Running Backs

Team Symbol Δ Δ % Total
Kenjon Barner Oregon BARN ↑ 25 100% $50
Nic Grigsby Arizona GRIG ↑ 5 20% $35
JacQuizz Rodgers Oregon State QUIZ ↓ 5 4% $120
Chris Polk Washington Polk ↑ 5 10% $55

Wide receivers

Wide Receivers Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Juron Criner Arizona CRIN ↑ 15 30% $65
Ronald Johnson USC ROJO ↑ 15 42% $50
James Rodgers Oregon State JROD ↑ 5 10% $55

IPO’s

Ryan Katz Oregon State KATZ $10
Keenan Allen Cal KEEN $25
Doug Baldwin Stanford BALD $25
David Ausberry USC BERY $25
DeVonte Christopher Utah DEVO $25
Cameron Marshall ASU MRSH $25
Marc Tyler USC MARC $25

Positional Markets

Symbol Δ Δ% Total
USC Defense USCD ↓ 50 50% $50
UCLA Defense UCLD ↓ 20 33% $60
Oregon State Defense OSUD ↓ 10 20% $40
Arizona Defense ARID ↑ 15 60% $65
Utah Defense UTAD ↑ 10 20% $60
UW Defense UWD ↓ 5 10% $40
Oregon Defense ORED ↑ 15 15% $115

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Pac-12 – Week 1 Players of the Week

5 09 2010

Players of the Week

We had some awesome performances by our athletes this week and it started on Thursday night with Utah’s DeVonte Christopher who hauled in 8 receptions for 155 yards and a touchdown.

Following that up was USC against Hawaii and they have two players that deserve mentioning. Matt Barkley led the way for the Trojans on an 18-23 performance for 257 yards and 5 touchdowns. The biggest problem with Barkley last year was forcing balls into tight coverages, but he was fortunate that the one time he tried to force one in the game it was dropped by the Hawaiian linebacker. Here are the USC highlights.

Barkley’s favorite target was Ronald Johnson who caught 7 balls for a meager 59 yards and three touchdowns. I thought his touchdowns of 1 and 3 yards were the result of Lane Kiffin trying to pad Matt Barkley’s stats by throwing in running situations, but he was the beneficiary. His stat line normally wouldn’t have him on my player of the week list, but his beautiful 89 yard punt return warrants making the list.

The MVP this week belongs to Kenjon Barner of the Oregon Ducks with his 17 carries for 149 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also caught one pass for 60 yards and another score and was on ESPN all day long with highlight reel runs which you can find here.

I thought that Barkley would have had the best numbers of all Pac-10 QB’s, but Nick Foles was even better on Friday night throwing 33 of 37 for 360 yards and 2TD’s. They showed a graphic during the game that essentially showed his first ~20 passes were under fifteen yards, but he was quick with his reads and accurate in his delivery.

Another Wildcat that makes our Player of the Week list is the recipient of the Nick Foles aerial assault, Juron Criner. The 6’4″ receiver caught 11 passes for 187 yards and a touchdown. Criner gained quite a few YAC yards and also hauled in a beautiful one handed catch which shows up about 20 seconds into these highlights.

If you have the ComcastNet Sports Channel you might have been able to see a future Pac-12 star in Keenan Allen for the Cal Bears today. His four 4 receptions accounted for 120 yards and a 48 yard touchdown reception. Allen also had 3 carries for 38 yards with his best play coming on an end around play designed as a pass, but he quickly reversed field and cut back 20 yards for the touchdown. You can check out the Keenan Allen highlights here.

Stanford’s Andrew Luck put some separation between the Luck-Locker debate when he went 17 of 23 for 360 yards and four touchdowns. This was the one game I didn’t watch, but the numbers are phenomenal. Andrew Luck reminds me of Aaron Rodgers with his ability to make quick decisions, accuracy, and strength throwing the ball. He had a couple beautifully thrown deep balls in the Stanford highlights.

Bust of the Week

On the flip side of the list is the Pac-12 bust of the week which has to be Jake Locker of the Washington Huskies. This was supposed to be one of, if not the best offense in the conference. Locker was good in spurts, but his offensive line gave him very little time to get his feet set in the pocket and Sarkisian didn’t do him any favors with the play-calling. His Heisman hopes are dashed as he had the opportunity to take what would have been the game winning score on three separate drives, but failed to score any points in those possessions.

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Pac-12 Week 1 Predictions

2 09 2010

USC at Hawaii: I’m expecting Hawaii to have some early success against the Trojans young secondary, but I think the mighty mighty horses will pull away in the second half. USC 38 – Big-Ass Hawaiin Dancers 17

Arizona at Toledo: Two spread offenses, one cup? Toledo needs to replace their QB from last year, Nick Foles gets hot after shaking off some rust early. Zona 41-27

UCLA at Kansas State: Bill Snyder is back to rebuild the Wildcats and I can’t get enough of these K-State fans. Daniel Thomas is going up against a rebuilt UCLA defense. K-State 24 – Baby Bears 20

Washington at BYU: Jake Locker has not won a road game since 2007, streak is over as the Huskies come out looking sharp offensively. The defense does just enough to get the win. Vegas has BYU as 3 point favorites. Dawgs 31 – Mormons 24

Washington State at Oklahoma State: The Cowboys and Cougars sounds like it would probably make a better reality television dating show than a football game. Cowboys 31 – Cougars 17

Portland State at Arizona State: The over/under for the number of unnecessary roughness penalties called on Vontaze Burfict is 1.5. Steven Threet is hoping that the third time is the charm after transferring from Georgia Tech to Michigan and finally bringing his talents to Tempe. Sun Devils 27 – Vikings 10

New Mexico at Oregon :I’m excited to see what Darron Thomas brings to the table in this game. Oregon goes for 250+ yards on the ground and superstar recruit Lache Seastrunk has a highlight on Sportscenter. New Mexico would have a better chance if they put their infamous soccer player – Elizabeth Lambert, suited up for them. Duckies 48 – Lobos 14

UC Davis at California: Is this FCS week in the Bay Area? Cal and Stanford both scheduled Sister Universities for their Saturday scrimmages, but if Cal comes out half-asleep they could get upset like Stanford did against the Aggies in 2005. Cameron Jordan gets two sacks while the more aggressive defense gets a touchdown. Bears 52 – Aggies 10

Sacramento State at Stanford: The Cardinal (worst nickname in all of sports) should roll in this one. The biggest challenge in this game will be Stanford offensive coordinator – David Shaw, determining whether they want more running or passing yards. The offensive line will plow the way for for the young guys while the passing game is pretty vanilla. Trees 52 – Bees 14

Oregon State vs. TCU: Every time I try to convince myself that Oregon State has a chance I look at my post-it that shows Oregon State has started 2-2 the the last seven seasons. Horny Frogs 31 – Beavers 27

Pittsburgh vs Utah: This is what I like to see out of our new member, big time games in the non-conference. Jordan Wynn will continue right where he left off in the Poinsettia Bowl with an efficient 275 passing yards while the Utes scrappy defense shuts down the Pitt running back Dion Lewis. Utes 28 – Panthers 24

Colorado vs Colorado State: Look for Rodney Stewart to have some success behind his veteran offensive line. Tyler Hansen has some talented wide receivers to throw to and a new weapon in the Mighigan transfer – Toney Clemens. Buffs 30 – Rams 17.

2010 Record 0-0

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